War Balance

The EU: each member's money toward Ukraine or Russia since 2022

The 27 EU members' support for Ukraine from 2022 to August 2026 comes to €209bn together (1.2% of their combined GDP), including their shares of EU-level aid. With trade with Russia and frozen Russian money counted, the net is 2.7% of GDP toward Ukraine.

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These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.

Net+2.7%of the members' combined GDP · €463bn toward Ukraine · +€1,029 per person
Support for Ukraine+1.2%of the members' combined GDP · €209bn in support · +€463 per person
Russia kept from trade, vs no war1.3% lessof the members' combined GDP · Russia kept €219bn less than without the war
Russian money frozen (return lost)0.21%of the members' combined GDP · €36.2bn return lost

Totals: the 27 members' best estimates added up, and as a share of their combined GDP. Each member's range and chance are on its row.

Members · 27

Sorted by “Net” as a share of one year's GDP, from the Ukraine side to the Russia side, 2022 to August 2026. + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia; + adds to its support for Ukraine, − takes from it; more or less: how much more or less Russia kept (taxes and profit, not sales) than in a world without the war.

#CountryNetSupport for UkraineRussia kept from trade, vs no warRussian money frozen (return lost)
1Lithuania+11.9%+€8.8bn · +€3,036 per personlikely 6.8% to 18.2% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€1.3bn+1.8% of GDPvery likely · >99%€7.4bn less10.1% of GDP lessvery likely · >99%€76m0.10% of GDP
2Estonia+10.8%+€4.1bn · +€2,993 per personlikely 5.3% to 17.4% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€0.92bn+2.4% of GDPvery likely · >99%€3.1bn less8.2% of GDP lessvery likely · 99%€47m0.12% of GDP
3Finland+8.5%+€23.1bn · +€4,108 per personlikely 5.4% to 12.6% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€5.3bn+1.9% of GDPvery likely · >99%€17.4bn less6.4% of GDP lessvery likely · >99%€0.40bn0.15% of GDP
4Latvia+5.6%+€2.2bn · +€1,165 per personlikely 3.2% to 8.7% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€0.75bn+1.9% of GDPvery likely · >99%€1.4bn less3.5% of GDP lessvery likely · 99%€49m0.13% of GDP
5Netherlands+5.1%+€54.1bn · +€3,006 per personlikely 3.0% to 8.2% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€22.8bn+2.2% of GDPvery likely · >99%€30.2bn less2.9% of GDP lessvery likely · 98%€1.1bn0.10% of GDP
6Poland+5.0%+€37.8bn · +€1,034 per personlikely 2.8% to 7.8% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€14.2bn+1.9% of GDPvery likely · 98%€22.8bn less3.0% of GDP lessvery likely · >99%€0.85bn0.11% of GDP
7Denmark+4.0%+€15.5bn · +€2,586 per personlikely 3.3% to 5.0% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€11.2bn+2.9% of GDPvery likely · >99%€3.7bn less0.98% of GDP lessvery likely · >99%€0.49bn0.13% of GDP
8Sweden+3.7%+€20.1bn · +€1,903 per personlikely 2.9% to 4.7% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€8.8bn+1.6% of GDPvery likely · >99%€10.6bn less1.9% of GDP lessvery likely · >99%€0.71bn0.13% of GDP
9Germany+3.7%+€153bn · +€1,828 per personlikely 2.6% to 5.0% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€74.8bn+1.8% of GDPvery likely · >99%€72.6bn less1.7% of GDP lessvery likely · >99%€5.3bn0.13% of GDP
10Cyprus+3.6%+€1.2bn · +€859 per personlikely 1.8% to 7.3% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€0.42bn+1.3% of GDPvery likely · >99%€0.54bn less1.7% of GDP lessvery likely · 95%€0.21bn0.64% of GDP
11Luxembourg+3.5%+€2.9bn · +€4,228 per personlikely 2.2% to 5.6% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€0.77bn+0.94% of GDPvery likely · >99%€0.70bn less0.86% of GDP lessvery likely · >99%€1.4bn1.7% of GDP
12Belgium+3.4%+€20.3bn · +€1,708 per personlikely 2.2% to 4.7% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€5.8bn+0.97% of GDPvery likely · >99%€3.7bn less0.62% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 79%€10.8bn1.8% of GDP
13Bulgaria+3.3%+€3.1bn · +€488 per personlikely from <0.01% toward Russia to 7.3% toward Ukrainelikely toward Ukraine · 95%+€0.68bn+0.72% of GDPvery likely · >99%€2.4bn less2.5% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 87%€100m0.10% of GDP
14Romania+2.8%+€8.9bn · +€466 per personlikely 0.99% to 4.6% toward Ukrainevery likely · 99%+€1.8bn+0.58% of GDPvery likely · >99%€6.7bn less2.1% of GDP lessvery likely · 96%€0.35bn0.11% of GDP
15Czechia+2.6%+€8bn · +€737 per personlikely 0.48% to 5.7% toward Ukrainevery likely · 97%+€4.1bn+1.3% of GDPvery likely · >99%€3.6bn less1.2% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 81%€0.30bn0.10% of GDP
16Ireland+1.8%+€9.5bn · +€1,769 per personlikely 1.4% to 2.3% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€7.5bn+1.4% of GDPvery likely · >99%€1.4bn less0.25% of GDP lessvery likely · 99%€0.65bn0.12% of GDP
17Italy+1.6%+€34.4bn · +€584 per personlikely 0.60% to 2.8% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€12.7bn+0.60% of GDPvery likely · >99%€18.8bn less0.89% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 91%€3bn0.14% of GDP
18France+1.6%+€43.6bn · +€636 per personlikely 0.80% to 2.3% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€16.9bn+0.60% of GDPvery likely · >99%€20.2bn less0.72% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 94%€6.5bn0.23% of GDP
19Croatia+1.5%+€1.2bn · +€306 per personlikely 0.69% to 3.9% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€0.66bn+0.85% of GDPvery likely · >99%€0.44bn less0.56% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 85%€87m0.11% of GDP
20Portugal+1.3%+€3.5bn · +€325 per personlikely 0.78% to 1.9% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€1.3bn+0.49% of GDPvery likely · >99%€1.8bn less0.68% of GDP lessvery likely · 98%€0.34bn0.13% of GDP
21Malta+1.2%+€0.25bn · +€435 per personlikely <0.01% to 2.5% toward Ukrainevery likely · 95%+€0.11bn+0.52% of GDPvery likely · >99%€0.12bn less0.58% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 77%€20m0.10% of GDP
22Spain+1.1%+€16.6bn · +€339 per personlikely 0.58% to 1.7% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€8.4bn+0.56% of GDPvery likely · >99%€6.2bn less0.42% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 89%€2bn0.13% of GDP
23Slovenia+0.66%+€0.42bn · +€196 per personlikely from 0.24% toward Russia to 3.1% toward Ukrainelikely toward Ukraine · 88%+€0.49bn+0.78% of GDPvery likely · >99%€0.15bn more0.25% of GDP moretoo close to call · 58% toward Russia€79m0.13% of GDP
24Austria+0.45%+€2.1bn · +€231 per personlikely from 1.2% toward Russia to 2.4% toward Ukrainelikely toward Ukraine · 68%+€3.7bn+0.79% of GDPvery likely · >99%€2.4bn more0.51% of GDP morelikely toward Russia · 67%€0.81bn0.17% of GDP
25Slovakia+0.24%+€0.29bn · +€54 per personlikely from 4.0% toward Russia to 4.8% toward Ukrainetoo close to call · 58% toward Ukraine+€1.1bn+0.89% of GDPvery likely · >99%€0.91bn more0.75% of GDP moretoo close to call · 58% toward Russia€0.13bn0.11% of GDP
26Greece+0.08%+€0.18bn · +€17 per personlikely from 2.3% toward Russia to 2.7% toward Ukraineessentially zero+€1.4bn+0.65% of GDPvery likely · >99%€1.6bn more0.70% of GDP morelikely toward Russia · 69%€0.29bn0.13% of GDP
27Hungary−6.0%−€11.4bn · −€1,192 per personlikely 0.72% to 9.8% toward Russiavery likely · 97%+€0.68bn+0.36% of GDPvery likely · >99%€12.3bn more6.4% of GDP morevery likely · 98%€0.20bn0.10% of GDP

Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.

Questions

How much has the EU given Ukraine?

The 27 members together, with their shares of EU-level aid and refugee hosting, gave Ukraine €209bn in support since 2022, 1.2% of their combined GDP. As a share of GDP, the net ranking among them starts with Lithuania.

Which EU countries lean toward Russia?

On the net, very likely toward Russia: Hungary. Direction likely, too close to call or near zero: Bulgaria, Slovenia, Austria, Slovakia and Greece. 21 members are very likely toward Ukraine. Each row gives the chance of its direction.

Ranking · Support for Ukraine by country · Trade with Russia by country · All topics · How it works

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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/group/eu/