War Balance

How much has Portugal given to Ukraine since 2022?

Portugal's support for Ukraine since 2022: €1.3bn (0.49% of one year's GDP: its aid, its EU share, refugee hosting, private donations and its other parts of support, net of money flowing back). Russia kept €1.8bn (0.68% of GDP) less than without the war; Russia also lost €0.34bn of return on reserves frozen there. The net is 1.3% of a year's GDP toward Ukraine (likely 0.78% to 1.9% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%).

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Toward Ukraine by

1.3% of a year's GDP since 2022

very likely · >99%

likely 0.78% to 1.9% toward Ukraine · €3.5bn · ≈ 0.28%/yr

Supported Ukraine + cut Russia's earnings from trade + froze Russian money = 1.3% of GDP toward Ukraine. About half support for Ukraine, half less kept by Russia from trade. Most of what Russia kept less was required by EU sanctions it agreed to.

Chance toward Ukraine: >99%; 100% of the other method choices agree.

Support for Ukraine

Supported Ukraine with

0.49%

€1.3bn

likely 0.35% to 0.74% very likely · >99%

Russia's earnings from trade

Cut Russia's earnings from trade by

0.68%

€1.8bn

likely 0.18% to 1.3% toward Ukraine very likely · 98%

Russia kept €1.8bn (0.68% of GDP) less than without the war.

The two lines add up to Russia's earnings from trade; their ranges do not.

Russian money frozen: Froze Russian money: Russia lost 0.13% of GDP in returns (€344m).

Its story in short

What makes up the number

Supported Ukraine with 0.49% · €1.3bn

Its share of EU aidB+0.31%€822m
Hosting refugeesC+0.09%€245m
Aid: weapons, money, loansC+0.08%€215m
Private donationsD+0.02%€59m
Portugal kept back part of its refugee spendingC−<0.01%€11m
Portugal kept more from extra services sold to UkraineC−<0.01%€11m
Its share of IMF and World Bank loansC+<0.01%€10m
Portugal kept more from extra sales to UkraineC−<0.01%€3m
Portugal kept part of aid spent here (energy, rebuilding)D−<0.01%€1m
Ukraine kept less from sales hereC−<0.01%€1m

Cut Russia's earnings from trade by 0.68% · €1.8bn

Russia kept less from fuel and goods sold hereC+0.65%€1.7bn
Russia kept less from its oil bought via other countriesDown estimate+0.04%€103m
Russia kept more from war-time fuel pricesC−0.02%€61m
Russia kept less from services sold hereC+<0.01%€16m
Portugal kept less from services sold to RussiaC+<0.01%€9m
Portugal kept less from selling to RussiaC+<0.01%€5m
Portugal's companies made less profit in RussiaD+<0.01%€1m
Its firms paid Russia more taxD−<0.01%€1m

Froze Russian money: Russia lost 0.13% in returns · €344m

Russia lost returns on its frozen moneyC+0.08%€221m
Russian owners lost returns on assets frozen hereD+0.05%€122m

+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia (in support for Ukraine, − is money it earned back or bought less from Ukraine than without the war). Letters: A reported, B measured estimate, C modelled estimate, D rough indication.

By year

The year with the largest net amount was 2024: +€0.87bn. Support for Ukraine fell from €0.24bn in 2022 to €0.21bn in 2025.

YearSupport for UkraineTrade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−)Russian money frozenNetNet since 2022
2022+€242m+€417m+€25m+€685m+0.26%
2023+€306m+€403m+€110m+€819m+0.56%
2024+€402m+€371m+€95m+€868m+0.88%
2025+€214m+€240m+€72m+€525m+1.1%
2026*+€160m+€380m+€43m+€582m+1.3%

Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.

Support for Ukraine by type

Portugal's support for Ukraine, 2022 to August 2026, split by type. The parts add up to the map's figure.

Military aid€0.21bnrange €0.13bn to €0.33bn; Kiel: €0.38bn
Financial aid (incl. IMF and World Bank share)€10mof which its share of IMF and World Bank lending: €10m
Humanitarian aid€3m
Refugee hosting€0.24bn
Share of EU aid€0.82bnof which military: €4m
Private donations and purchases€58m
Money flowing back−€25msubtracted
Support for Ukraine (the map's figure)€1.3bn

Quality of the split: C

Military aid to Ukraine, every country →

Trade with Russia before and after

It bought €1.00bn from Russia in 2021 and €0.15bn in 2025 (−85%). It sold €0.19bn to Russia in 2021 and €0.13bn in 2025 (−32%). Before the war (2018–2021), fuel was 71.7% of what it bought from Russia. For Portugal: €61m paid above no-war prices, most of it in 2023. These are sales values at each year's prices; the totals count what the seller kept on them.

What it bought from Russia, by fuel

Portugal's purchases from Russia, 2022 to August 2026, by fuel: by its own customs records (CIF), on the map's basis (the Russian border price, FOB) and by CREA's tracker (ship data). The map's figure is the total on the map's basis.

FuelCustoms (CIF)Map basis (FOB)Tracker (CREA)Quality
Oil products€0.31bn€0.28bnrange €0.21bn to €0.38bn€0.23bnB
LNG€0.59bn€0.52bnrange €0.40bn to €0.75bn€0.70bnB
Other goods€0.58bn€0.53bn–
All goods€1.5bn€1.3bn–

Quality by year: 2022: A, 2023: B, 2024: A, 2025: A, 2026, January to August: A. C and D are estimates.

Every buyer, by fuel →

Sanctions, Russia's own cut-offs, or a choice

Of what Russia kept less from its trade: 90% required by EU sanctions it agreed to as a member, 10% beyond what sanctions required.

Sanctions on Russia

Yes. As an EU member, Portugal applies the EU's sanctions on Russia, which every member agreed to in the Council. It is part of the price cap coalition on Russian oil through the EU. Separately, Russia lists Portugal as an “unfriendly” state (government order 430-r, 5 March 2022): that is Russia's own list of countries it acts against, not a sanction by Portugal. Checked 27 October 2026.

Sources

Every country's sanctions on Russia →

The cost of switching away from Russian energy

Replacing Russian energy cost it about €0.46bn extra from 2022 (0.17% of one year's GDP). Russian oil bought at a war-time discount saved it about €11m. Neither is in the totals: shown for information.

Russian money frozen

Russian money frozen: 0.13% of a year's GDP (€344m; likely €248m to €403m): the return Russia lost on its central-bank reserves and on Russian private assets frozen here. Not a payment, so it is on its own line, added to the net only.

No public figure has been published for the amounts frozen here; a missing figure does not mean that nothing is frozen.

Refugees from Ukraine

61,570 refugees from Ukraine, 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Refugees counted as of 2026. Counted as support for Ukraine: €0.24bn (0.09% of one year's GDP), the public cost of hosting refugees from 2022, after the host's gain on the work refugees do. For Portugal: €275m spent on refugees, less €30m, its gain on the work refugees did here.

Why this differs from the Kiel tracker

Kiel Institute's figure for its own aid: €385m; counted here: €215m — donated weapons at their market value; loans at their gift value, not their full amount; military aid counted when delivered, by August 2026. Loans, full amount: €1.2bn; Loans, grant equivalent: €0.53bn. Promised but not yet delivered, in the Kiel Institute's figures: €1.7bn. It is not counted here. Military aid allocated but not yet delivered is not counted: €134m (Kiel's full allocation is the high end).

Money flowing back from the war effort

€0.37bn of aid and of Ukraine's purchases was spent in Portugal; what its firms kept of it, €25m, is taken off its support.

Companies, Russia and Russian owners

Russia took €1m from companies of this country (seizures and forced sales); not in the totals. Likely <€1m to €14m; <0.01% of a year's GDP.

Compared with its neighbours and groups

In the map's ranking: number 22 of 32 economies toward Ukraine, as a share of GDP. EU countries: number 19 of 21 members toward Ukraine. NATO members: number 19 of 23 members toward Ukraine.

Neighbours by land

CountryNet, % of GDP
Portugal+1.3%+€3.5bnvery likely · >99%
Spain+1.1%+€16.6bnvery likely · >99%

In its region, with the same chance and direction: the nearest net shares of GDP

CountryNet, % of GDP
Malta+1.2%+€0.25bnvery likely · 95%
Spain+1.1%+€16.6bnvery likely · >99%
Croatia+1.5%+€1.2bnvery likely · >99%
France+1.6%+€43.6bnvery likely · >99%

How the number is backed

39 sources back its parts: 12 official statistics, 8 research reports, 0 press reports and 4 of this project's own estimates, plus 15 method inputs. By size, 22% of its parts are reported or measured (A–B), 70% modelled (C) and 8% rough indications (D).

Data coverage

Sources, by part

Russia kept less from fuel and goods sold here C

Its share of EU aid B

Hosting refugees C

Russia lost returns on its frozen money C

Aid: weapons, money, loans C

Every source of its parts (39)

Questions

How much has Portugal given to Ukraine?

Portugal's support for Ukraine from 2022 to August 2026: €1.3bn, 0.49% of one year's GDP (likely 0.35% to 0.74%). It counts its aid (weapons at market value when delivered, loans at their gift value), its share of EU aid, its share of IMF and World Bank lending, the cost of hosting refugees, private donations, an estimate of undisclosed military aid and purchases from Ukraine against the no-war level, net of money flowing back.

Does Portugal trade with Russia?

It bought €0.15bn from Russia in 2025 (€1.00bn in 2021), and sold €0.13bn to Russia. What counts here is the change in what Russia kept from that trade (taxes and profit, not sales) against a world without the war: Russia kept €1.8bn (0.68% of GDP) less than without the war.

Portugal–Russia relations: what do the numbers show?

In money terms: it bought €0.15bn from Russia in 2025 (€1.00bn in 2021), and sold €0.13bn to Russia; its support for Ukraine since 2022 is €1.3bn; and the net, with what Russia kept from trade against a world without the war, is +1.3% of one year's GDP (likely 0.78% to 1.9% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%). Diplomacy, security ties and politics are not in these numbers.

Is Portugal helping Russia?

In money terms the net is +1.3% of one year's GDP (likely 0.78% to 1.9% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%). Chance toward Ukraine: >99%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Russia kept €1.8bn (0.68% of GDP) less than without the war. The number counts money: weapons at their money value; votes, diplomacy and intent are not in it.

Does Portugal still buy Russian oil and gas?

Before the war (2018–2021), fuel was 71.7% of what it bought from Russia. In 2025 it bought €0.15bn of fuel and other goods from Russia, against €1.00bn in 2021; the section on what it bought from Russia by fuel splits it.

Why does War Balance differ from the Kiel tracker for Portugal?

Kiel Institute's figure for its own aid: €385m; counted here: €215m — donated weapons at their market value; loans at their gift value, not their full amount; military aid counted when delivered, by August 2026.

Does Portugal have sanctions on Russia?

Yes. As an EU member, Portugal applies the EU's sanctions on Russia, which every member agreed to in the Council. It is part of the price cap coalition on Russian oil through the EU. Separately, Russia lists Portugal as an “unfriendly” state (government order 430-r, 5 March 2022): that is Russia's own list of countries it acts against, not a sanction by Portugal. Sources: Council Regulation (EU) No 833/2014 (consolidated); Statement of the G7 and Australia on a price cap for seaborne Russian-origin crude oil, 2 December 2022 (German Federal Foreign Office).

Nearby in the ranking

Toward Ukraine · number 22 of 32

  1. 19.Italy+1.6%Toward Ukraine · +€34.4bn
  2. 20.France+1.6%Toward Ukraine · +€43.6bn
  3. 21.Croatia+1.5%Toward Ukraine · +€1.2bn
  4. 22.Portugal+1.3%Toward Ukraine · +€3.5bn
  5. 23.Malta+1.2%Toward Ukraine · +€248m
  6. 24.Iceland+1.2%Toward Ukraine · +€348m
  7. 25.Spain+1.1%Toward Ukraine · +€16.6bn

More about Portugal

Groups

Its parts, ranked against other countries

Every country, by year

39 sources in all; the map's panel lists every one, with its documents. Open in the map · How this is measured

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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/country/portugal/