War Balance
BRICS: each member's money toward Ukraine or Russia since 2022
The BRICS members other than Russia, from 2022 to August 2026: Russia kept €220bn more from trade with them together than in a world without the war; with their support for Ukraine the net is 0.86% of their combined GDP toward Russia.
These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.
Totals: the 9 members' best estimates added up, and as a share of their combined GDP. Each member's range and chance are on its row.
Members · 9
Sorted by “Net” as a share of one year's GDP, from the Ukraine side to the Russia side, 2022 to August 2026. + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia; + adds to its support for Ukraine, − takes from it; more or less: how much more or less Russia kept (taxes and profit, not sales) than in a world without the war.
Members as of 2026: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates and Indonesia. Saudi Arabia was invited to join in 2024 but has not confirmed membership; it is listed apart, outside the totals.
| # | Country | Net | Support for Ukraine | Russia kept from trade, vs no war |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia | <0.01%+€6m · <€1 per personlikely from 0.10% toward Russia to 0.13% toward Ukraineessentially zero | −€40m−0.03% of GDPvery likely · 97% | €46m less0.04% of GDP lessessentially zero |
| 2 | Indonesia | −0.20%−€2.6bn · −€9 per personlikely 0.08% to 0.37% toward Russiavery likely · >99% | −€41m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €2.5bn more0.20% of GDP morevery likely · >99% |
| 3 | Egypt | −0.43%−€1.7bn · −€14 per personlikely from 1.1% toward Russia to 0.01% toward Ukrainelikely toward Russia · 95% | +€86m+0.02% of GDPessentially zero | €1.8bn more0.45% of GDP morevery likely · 95% |
| 4 | Iran | −0.44%−€1.9bn · −€20 per personlikely 0.21% to 0.69% toward Russiavery likely · >99% | −€1m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €1.9bn more0.44% of GDP morevery likely · >99% |
| 5 | South Africa | −0.49%−€1.8bn · −€28 per personlikely 0.18% to 0.79% toward Russiavery likely · >99% | −€3m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €1.8bn more0.49% of GDP morevery likely · >99% |
| 6 | Brazil | −0.51%−€10.1bn · −€47 per personlikely 0.29% to 0.71% toward Russiavery likely · >99% | +€30m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €10.1bn more0.51% of GDP morevery likely · >99% |
| 7 | United Arab Emirates | −0.71%−€3.5bn · −€319 per personlikely from 1.9% toward Russia to 0.23% toward Ukrainelikely toward Russia · 97% | +€48m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €3.6bn more0.72% of GDP morelikely toward Russia · 97% |
| 8 | China | −0.75%−€128bn · −€91 per personlikely 0.32% to 1.1% toward Russiavery likely · >99% | −€0.52bn<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €128bn more0.74% of GDP morevery likely · >99% |
| 9 | India | −2.2%−€70.6bn · −€49 per personlikely 1.0% to 3.2% toward Russiavery likely · >99% | −€0.15bn<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €70.5bn more2.2% of GDP morevery likely · >99% |
Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.
Russia: a side the money is measured toward, so no figure of its own.
Outside the totals
| # | Country | Net | Support for Ukraine | Russia kept from trade, vs no war |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | −0.30%−€3.5bn · −€99 per personlikely 0.08% to 0.52% toward Russiavery likely · 99% | +€0.36bn+0.03% of GDPessentially zero | €3.9bn more0.33% of GDP morevery likely · 99% |
Questions
Are the BRICS countries helping Russia?
In money terms, on the net: Very likely toward Russia: Indonesia, Iran, South Africa, Brazil, China and India. Direction likely, too close to call or near zero: Ethiopia, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates. Together, Russia kept €220bn more from trade with them than without the war. Weapons, troops and diplomacy are not in the number.
Is Russia counted?
No. Russia and Ukraine are the sides the money is measured toward, so they have no figure of their own.
Related
Ranking · Support for Ukraine by country · Trade with Russia by country · All topics · How it works
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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/group/brics/