War Balance
Gulf states: each one's money toward Ukraine or Russia since 2022
The 6 Gulf Cooperation Council states, from 2022 to August 2026: Russia kept €8.9bn more from trade with them together than without the war, and their support for Ukraine came to €0.45bn. The net is 0.39% of their combined GDP toward Russia.
These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.
Totals: the 6 members' best estimates added up, and as a share of their combined GDP. Each member's range and chance are on its row.
Members · 6
Sorted by “Net” as a share of one year's GDP, from the Ukraine side to the Russia side, 2022 to August 2026. + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia; + adds to its support for Ukraine, − takes from it; more or less: how much more or less Russia kept (taxes and profit, not sales) than in a world without the war.
| # | Country | Net | Support for Ukraine | Russia kept from trade, vs no war |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuwait | <0.01%+€1m · <€1 per personlikely from 0.09% toward Russia to 0.17% toward Ukraineessentially zero | +€7m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €6m more<0.01% of GDPessentially zero |
| 2 | Qatar | −0.02%−€32m · −€11 per personlikely from 0.11% toward Russia to 0.12% toward Ukraineessentially zero | +€56m+0.03% of GDPessentially zero | €88m more0.04% of GDP moreessentially zero |
| 3 | Bahrain | −0.02%−€8m · −€5 per personlikely from 0.10% toward Russia to 0.24% toward Ukraineessentially zero | −€2m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €7m more0.02% of GDP moreessentially zero |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | −0.30%−€3.5bn · −€99 per personlikely 0.08% to 0.52% toward Russiavery likely · 99% | +€0.36bn+0.03% of GDPessentially zero | €3.9bn more0.33% of GDP morevery likely · 99% |
| 5 | United Arab Emirates | −0.71%−€3.5bn · −€319 per personlikely from 1.9% toward Russia to 0.23% toward Ukrainelikely toward Russia · 97% | +€48m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero | €3.6bn more0.72% of GDP morelikely toward Russia · 97% |
| 6 | Oman | −1.4%−€1.4bn · −€266 per personlikely 0.64% to 2.3% toward Russiavery likely · >99% | −€15m−0.02% of GDPessentially zero | €1.4bn more1.4% of GDP morevery likely · >99% |
Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.
Questions
Do the Gulf states help Russia?
In money terms, the 6 together come to 0.39% of their combined GDP toward Russia. Very likely toward Russia: Saudi Arabia and Oman. Direction likely, too close to call or near zero: Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates. Support for Ukraine and Russia's earnings from trade are on each row.
Related
Ranking · Support for Ukraine by country · Trade with Russia by country · All topics · How it works
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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/group/gulf-states/