Is Cameroon helping Ukraine or Russia? Leaning toward Ukraine
Cameroon's support for Ukraine since 2022: −€4m (<0.01% of one year's GDP: its aid, refugee hosting, private donations and its other parts of support, net of money flowing back). Russia kept €456m (1.0% of GDP) less than without the war. The net is 0.99% of a year's GDP toward Ukraine (likely from 0.01% toward Russia to 3.1% toward Ukraine; likely toward Ukraine · 94%).
Russia kept €456m (1.0% of GDP) less than without the war.
Russia's gain: Russia kept 1.0% of GDP less (€462m; likely 0.01% to 3.1% toward Ukraine)
Cameroon's own gain from trade with Russia: Cameroon kept 0.01% of GDP more from its trade with Russia (€6m; likely <0.01% to 0.05% toward Russia)
The two lines add up to Russia's earnings from trade; their ranges do not.
Its story in short
Mostly one part Russia kept less from fuel and goods sold here: €430m of the net's €452m.
Two different things added The net adds two different things: help given to Ukraine and the change in what Russia kept from trade. Much of what one country stopped buying, Russia sold to others.
What decides this number
Chance toward Ukraine: 94%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Not certain, mostly because of how much it would have bought from Russia without the war.
What makes up the number
Bought less from Ukraine than without the war; below zero by <0.01% · €4m
Ukraine kept less from sales hereC
−<0.01%
€4m
Probably cut Russia's earnings from trade by 1.0% · €456m
Russia kept less from fuel and goods sold hereC
+0.94%
€430m
Russia kept less from its oil bought via other countriesC
+0.07%
€32m
Cameroon kept more from selling to RussiaC
−<0.01%
€3m
Cameroon kept more from shipping Russian oilD
−<0.01%
€3m
Cameroon kept more from services sold to RussiaC
−<0.01%
€1m
Russia kept less from services sold hereC
+<0.01%
€1m
+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia (in support for Ukraine, − is money it earned back or bought less from Ukraine than without the war). Letters: A reported, B measured estimate, C modelled estimate, D rough indication.
By year
The year with the largest net amount was 2022: +€0.11bn.
It bought €0.38bn from Russia in 2021 and €43m in 2025 (−89%). It sold €1m to Russia in 2021 and <€1m in 2025. Before the war (2018–2021), fuel was 28.4% of what it bought from Russia. For Cameroon: <€1m paid above no-war prices, most of it in 2022. These are sales values at each year's prices; the totals count what the seller kept on them.
Sanctions on Russia
We found no sanctions of Cameroon's own against Russia (checked 27 October 2026). This says nothing about whether firms there follow other countries' sanctions. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name Cameroon. Checked 27 October 2026.
22 sources back its parts: 5 official statistics, 3 research reports, 0 press reports and 1 of this project's own estimates, plus 13 method inputs. By size, 0% of its parts are reported or measured (A–B), 99% modelled (C) and 1% rough indications (D).
Data coverage
Aid to Ukraine: estimated no record found: 0, with a small upper bound
Private donations: estimated national totals or a GDP-based estimate
Services trade with Russia: estimated includes shipping and insuring Russian oil (estimate)
Refugee hosting: reported no refugees from Ukraine recorded
Bought from Russia: estimated partly filled: imf, reported
Sold to Russia: estimated partner data plus an estimate of goods reaching Russia via third countries
Bought from Ukraine: estimated partly filled: mirror, reported
Sold to Ukraine: estimated partly filled: mirror, reported
Energy switching cost: estimated modelled per fuel and month
Company taxes in Russia: reported no companies operating in Russia found
In money terms the net is +0.99% of one year's GDP (likely from 0.01% toward Russia to 3.1% toward Ukraine; likely toward Ukraine · 94%). Chance toward Ukraine: 94%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Russia kept €456m (1.0% of GDP) less than without the war. The number counts money: weapons at their money value; votes, diplomacy and intent are not in it.
How does Cameroon compare with its neighbours?
The net as a share of one year's GDP: Cameroon +0.99%, Nigeria +0.42%, Congo +0.12%, Gabon +0.08%, Central African Republic −4.8%.
We found no sanctions of Cameroon's own against Russia (checked 27 October 2026). This says nothing about whether firms there follow other countries' sanctions. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name Cameroon.
War Balance