War Balance
Its story in short
- Two different things added The net adds two different things: help given to Ukraine and the change in what Russia kept from trade. Much of what one country stopped buying, Russia sold to others.
Is French Polynesia helping Russia or Ukraine? The net is essentially zero
French Polynesia's support for Ukraine since 2022: <€1m (<0.01% of one year's GDP: its aid, refugee hosting, private donations and its other parts of support, net of money flowing back). Russia kept <€1m (<0.01% of GDP) less than without the war. The net is <0.01% of a year's GDP toward Ukraine (likely from <0.01% toward Russia to 0.02% toward Ukraine; essentially zero).
Toward Ukraine by
<0.01% of a year's GDP since 2022
essentially zero
likely from <0.01% toward Russia to 0.02% toward Ukraine · <€1m · ≈ <0.01%/yr
Bought less from Ukraine than without the war + cut Russia's earnings from trade = <0.01% of GDP toward Ukraine. Mostly less kept by Russia from trade.
Chance toward Ukraine: 95%; 100% of the other method choices agree.
Support for Ukraine
Bought less from Ukraine than without the war; below zero by
<0.01%
<€1m
about 0 essentially zero
Russia's earnings from trade
Cut Russia's earnings from trade by
<0.01%
<€1m
likely <0.01% to 0.02% toward Ukraine essentially zero
Russia kept <€1m (<0.01% of GDP) less than without the war.
Its story in short
What decides this number
Chance toward Ukraine: 95%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Near zero, and not certain mostly because of how much it would have bought from Russia without the war. Here the size of the net is the finding, not its direction: likely from <0.01% toward Russia to 0.02% toward Ukraine.
What makes up the number
Bought less from Ukraine than without the war; below zero by <0.01% · <€1m
Cut Russia's earnings from trade by <0.01% · <€1m
+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia (in support for Ukraine, − is money it earned back or bought less from Ukraine than without the war). Letters: A reported, B measured estimate, C modelled estimate, D rough indication.
By year
| Year | Support for Ukraine | Trade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−) | Net | Net since 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | +<€1m | +<€1m | +<€1m | +<0.01% |
| 2023 | −<€1m | +<€1m | +<€1m | +<0.01% |
| 2024 | −<€1m | +<€1m | +<€1m | +<0.01% |
| 2025 | −<€1m | +<€1m | +<€1m | +<0.01% |
| 2026* | −<€1m | +<€1m | +<€1m | +<0.01% |
Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.
Trade with Russia before and after
It bought <€1m from Russia in 2021 and €0m in 2025. For French Polynesia: <€1m paid above no-war prices, most of it in 2022, 71% of it on gas contracts. These are sales values at each year's prices; the totals count what the seller kept on them.
Sanctions on Russia
French Polynesia is a territory of France. We did not check whether the sanctions of France on Russia extend to it. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name French Polynesia itself; it names France. Checked 27 October 2026.
Compared with its neighbours and groups
Its direction is essentially zero, so the map's ranking gives it no number.
Questions
Why is French Polynesia's net so small?
Its net is essentially zero: +<0.01% of one year's GDP (likely from <0.01% toward Russia to 0.02% toward Ukraine). Near zero, and not certain mostly because of how much it would have bought from Russia without the war.
Is French Polynesia helping Russia?
In money terms the net is +<0.01% of one year's GDP (likely from <0.01% toward Russia to 0.02% toward Ukraine; essentially zero). Chance toward Ukraine: 95%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Russia kept <€1m (<0.01% of GDP) less than without the war. The number counts money: weapons at their money value; votes, diplomacy and intent are not in it.
Does French Polynesia have sanctions on Russia?
French Polynesia is a territory of France. We did not check whether the sanctions of France on Russia extend to it. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name French Polynesia itself; it names France.
Nearby in the ranking
Essentially zero
- Madagascar+0.01%Essentially zero · +€2m · 59%
- Lesotho+0.01%Essentially zero · +<€1m · 80%
- Grenada+<0.01%Essentially zero · +<€1m · 68%
- French Polynesia+<0.01%Essentially zero · +<€1m · 95%
- Ethiopia+<0.01%Essentially zero · +€6m · 51%
- Andorra+<0.01%Essentially zero · +<€1m · 53%
- Kuwait+<0.01%Essentially zero · +€1m · 51%
More about French Polynesia
Every country, by year
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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/country/french-polynesia/