Is the Dominican Republic helping Russia or Ukraine? The net is near zero
The Dominican Republic's support for Ukraine since 2022: −€11m (<0.01% of one year's GDP: its aid, refugee hosting, private donations and its other parts of support, net of money flowing back). Russia kept €158m (0.14% of GDP) less than without the war. The net is 0.13% of a year's GDP toward Ukraine (likely from 0.05% toward Russia to 0.39% toward Ukraine; near zero · 86% toward Ukraine).
likely from 0.05% toward Russia to 0.39% toward Ukraine · €147m · ≈ 0.03%/yr
Bought less from Ukraine than without the war + cut Russia's earnings from trade = 0.13% of GDP toward Ukraine. Mostly less kept by Russia from trade.
Chance toward Ukraine: 86%; 100% of the other method choices agree.
Support for Ukraine
Bought less from Ukraine than without the war; below zero by
<0.01%
€11m
likely from 0.04% below zero to <0.01% above zero essentially zero
Russia's earnings from trade
Cut Russia's earnings from trade by
0.14%
€158m
likely from 0.03% toward Russia to 0.40% toward Ukraine near zero · 89% toward Ukraine
Russia kept €158m (0.14% of GDP) less than without the war.
Russia's gain: Russia kept 0.14% of GDP less (€158m; likely from 0.03% toward Russia to 0.40% toward Ukraine)
The Dominican Republic's own gain from trade with Russia: The Dominican Republic kept <0.01% of GDP less from its trade with Russia (<€1m; likely from 0.01% toward Russia to <0.01% toward Ukraine)
The two lines add up to Russia's earnings from trade; their ranges do not.
Its story in short
Mostly one part Russia kept less from fuel and goods sold here: €159m of the net's €147m.
Two different things added The net adds two different things: help given to Ukraine and the change in what Russia kept from trade. Much of what one country stopped buying, Russia sold to others.
What decides this number
Chance toward Ukraine: 86%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Near zero, and not certain mostly because of how much it would have bought from Russia without the war. Here the size of the net is the finding, not its direction: likely from 0.05% toward Russia to 0.39% toward Ukraine.
What makes up the number
Bought less from Ukraine than without the war; below zero by <0.01% · €11m
Ukraine kept less from sales hereC
−<0.01%
€11m
Cut Russia's earnings from trade by 0.14% · €158m
Russia kept less from fuel and goods sold hereC
+0.14%
€159m
Russia kept more from war-time fuel pricesC
−<0.01%
€8m
Russia kept less from its oil bought via other countriesDown estimate
+<0.01%
€7m
The Dominican Republic kept less from selling to RussiaC
+<0.01%
€1m
+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia (in support for Ukraine, − is money it earned back or bought less from Ukraine than without the war). Letters: A reported, B measured estimate, C modelled estimate, D rough indication.
By year
The year with the largest net amount was 2022: +€32m.
It bought €0.12bn from Russia in 2021 and €38m in 2025 (−69%). It sold €13m to Russia in 2021 and €3m in 2025 (−76%). For the Dominican Republic: €8m paid above no-war prices, most of it in 2022, 71% of it on gas contracts. These are sales values at each year's prices; the totals count what the seller kept on them.
Sanctions on Russia
We found no sanctions of the Dominican Republic's own against Russia (checked 27 October 2026). This says nothing about whether firms there follow other countries' sanctions. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name the Dominican Republic. Checked 27 October 2026.
Its direction is near zero, so the map's ranking gives it no number.
How the number is backed
19 sources back its parts: 2 official statistics, 1 research reports, 0 press reports and 4 of this project's own estimates, plus 12 method inputs. By size, 0% of its parts are reported or measured (A–B), 96% modelled (C) and 4% rough indications (D).
Data coverage
Aid to Ukraine: estimated no record found: 0, with a small upper bound
Private donations: estimated national totals or a GDP-based estimate
Services trade with Russia: estimated Eurostat, OECD-WTO and Bank of Russia data
Refugee hosting: estimated modelled from refugees hosted per year
Bought from Russia: reported reported 2021-2025
Sold to Russia: estimated partner data plus an estimate of goods reaching Russia via third countries
Bought from Ukraine: reported reported 2021-2025
Sold to Ukraine: reported reported 2021-2025
Energy switching cost: estimated modelled per fuel and month
Company taxes in Russia: estimated allocated by company counts and investment
Its net is near zero: +0.13% of one year's GDP (likely from 0.05% toward Russia to 0.39% toward Ukraine). Near zero, and not certain mostly because of how much it would have bought from Russia without the war.
Is the Dominican Republic helping Russia?
In money terms the net is +0.13% of one year's GDP (likely from 0.05% toward Russia to 0.39% toward Ukraine; near zero · 86% toward Ukraine). Chance toward Ukraine: 86%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Russia kept €158m (0.14% of GDP) less than without the war. The number counts money: weapons at their money value; votes, diplomacy and intent are not in it.
Where do the numbers for the Dominican Republic come from?
Does the Dominican Republic have sanctions on Russia?
We found no sanctions of the Dominican Republic's own against Russia (checked 27 October 2026). This says nothing about whether firms there follow other countries' sanctions. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name the Dominican Republic.
War Balance