Is Dominica helping Russia or Ukraine? The net is essentially zero
Dominica's support for Ukraine since 2022: <€1m (<0.01% of one year's GDP: its aid, refugee hosting, private donations and its other parts of support, net of money flowing back). Russia kept <€1m (0.06% of GDP) more than without the war, mostly more tax paid in Russia by companies (<€1m; the other parts take <€1m off it). The net is 0.06% of a year's GDP toward Russia (likely from 1.4% toward Russia to 0.75% toward Ukraine; essentially zero).
likely from 1.4% toward Russia to 0.75% toward Ukraine · <€1m · ≈ 0.01%/yr
Supported Ukraine + raised Russia's earnings from trade = 0.06% of GDP toward Russia. Mostly toward Russia (mostly taxes its companies pay in Russia).
Chance toward Russia: 55%; 100% of the other method choices agree.
Support for Ukraine
Supported Ukraine with
<0.01%
<€1m
about 0 essentially zero
Russia's earnings from trade
Raised Russia's earnings from trade by
0.06%
<€1m
likely from 1.4% toward Russia to 0.75% toward Ukraine essentially zero
Russia kept <€1m (0.06% of GDP) more than without the war, mostly more tax paid in Russia by companies (<€1m; the other parts take <€1m off it).
Its story in short
Rough data: mostly estimates 75% of its parts, by size, are rough indications (certainty D): treat its number as a direction, not a measurement.
Small economy A small economy (GDP €613m): small sums move its % a lot. Not ranked, and drawn in the lightest shade only.
What decides this number
Chance toward Russia: 55%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Not certain, mostly because of the uncertain size of one part: Its firms paid Russia more tax. Here the size of the net is the finding, not its direction: likely from 1.4% toward Russia to 0.75% toward Ukraine.
What makes up the number
Supported Ukraine with <0.01% · <€1m
Raised Russia's earnings from trade by 0.06% · <€1m
+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia (in support for Ukraine, − is money it earned back or bought less from Ukraine than without the war). Letters: A reported, B measured estimate, C modelled estimate, D rough indication.
Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.
Trade with Russia before and after
It sold <€1m to Russia in 2021 and <€1m in 2025. These are sales values at each year's prices; the totals count what the seller kept on them.
Sanctions on Russia
We found no sanctions of Dominica's own against Russia (checked 27 October 2026). This says nothing about whether firms there follow other countries' sanctions. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name Dominica. Checked 27 October 2026.
In money terms the net is −0.06% of one year's GDP (likely from 1.4% toward Russia to 0.75% toward Ukraine; essentially zero). Chance toward Russia: 55%; 100% of the other method choices agree. Russia kept <€1m (0.06% of GDP) more than without the war, mostly more tax paid in Russia by companies (<€1m; the other parts take <€1m off it). The number counts money: weapons at their money value; votes, diplomacy and intent are not in it.
Why is Dominica's net so small?
Its net is essentially zero: −0.06% of one year's GDP (likely from 1.4% toward Russia to 0.75% toward Ukraine). Not certain, mostly because of the uncertain size of one part: Its firms paid Russia more tax.
Does Dominica have sanctions on Russia?
We found no sanctions of Dominica's own against Russia (checked 27 October 2026). This says nothing about whether firms there follow other countries' sanctions. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name Dominica.