War Balance
The Cook Islands' support for Ukraine since 2022: <€1m (<0.01% of one year's GDP: its aid, refugee hosting, private donations and its other parts of support, net of money flowing back). The Cook Islands moved €3m (0.84% of GDP) more toward Russia than without the war (Russia kept more, and the Cook Islands kept more from selling to Russia, mostly Russian crude in fuel bought from refiners elsewhere (€2m of €3m)). The net is 0.84% of a year's GDP toward Russia (likely 0.48% to 1.7% toward Russia; very likely · >99%).
Toward Russia by
0.84% of a year's GDP since 2022
very likely · >99%
likely 0.48% to 1.7% toward Russia · €3m · ≈ 0.18%/yr
Supported Ukraine + raised Russia's earnings from trade = 0.84% of GDP toward Russia. Mostly toward Russia.
Chance toward Russia: >99%; 100% of the other method choices agree.
Support for Ukraine
Supported Ukraine with
<0.01%
<€1m
about 0 essentially zero
Russia's earnings from trade
Raised Russia's earnings from trade by
0.84%
€3m
likely 0.48% to 1.7% toward Russia very likely · >99%
The Cook Islands moved €3m (0.84% of GDP) more toward Russia than without the war (Russia kept more, and the Cook Islands kept more from selling to Russia, mostly Russian crude in fuel bought from refiners elsewhere (€2m of €3m)).
The two lines add up to Russia's earnings from trade; their ranges do not.
Supported Ukraine with <0.01% · <€1m
Raised Russia's earnings from trade by 0.84% · €3m
| Russia kept more from its oil bought via other countriesDown estimate | −0.52% | €2m |
| The Cook Islands kept more from shipping Russian oilD | −0.32% | €1m |
+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia (in support for Ukraine, − is money it earned back or bought less from Ukraine than without the war). Letters: A reported, B measured estimate, C modelled estimate, D rough indication.
The year with the largest net amount was 2024: −€1m.
| Year | Support for Ukraine | Trade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−) | Net | Net since 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | +<€1m | −<€1m | −<€1m | −0.08% |
| 2023 | €0 | −€1m | −€1m | −0.32% |
| 2024 | +<€1m | −€1m | −€1m | −0.56% |
| 2025 | +<€1m | −€1m | −€1m | −0.73% |
| 2026* | +<€1m | −<€1m | −<€1m | −0.84% |
Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.
It sold <€1m to Russia in 2021 and <€1m in 2025. These are sales values at each year's prices; the totals count what the seller kept on them.
The Cook Islands is a territory of New Zealand. We did not check whether the sanctions of New Zealand on Russia extend to it. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name the Cook Islands itself; it names New Zealand. Checked 27 October 2026.
Russia kept more from its oil bought via other countries: €2m (0.52% of one year's GDP). The Cook Islands kept more from shipping Russian oil: €1m (0.32% of one year's GDP).
7 sources back its parts: 0 official statistics, 1 research reports, 0 press reports and 1 of this project's own estimates, plus 5 method inputs. By size, 0% of its parts are reported or measured (A–B), 0% modelled (C) and 100% rough indications (D). No data: Fuel and goods bought from Russia · Sales to Russia · War-time fuel prices. There is no observation of its own for the war years, so these count as zero. Why
In money terms the net is −0.84% of one year's GDP (likely 0.48% to 1.7% toward Russia; very likely · >99%). Chance toward Russia: >99%; 100% of the other method choices agree. The Cook Islands moved €3m (0.84% of GDP) more toward Russia than without the war (Russia kept more, and the Cook Islands kept more from selling to Russia, mostly Russian crude in fuel bought from refiners elsewhere (€2m of €3m)). The number counts money: weapons at their money value; votes, diplomacy and intent are not in it.
7 sources back its parts, 0 of them official statistics. By part: Russia kept more from its oil bought via other countries: Laundered oil: fuel made from Russian crude, assigned to the final buyer (trading hubs pass on what they resell), valued at the Russian crude inside it; The Cook Islands kept more from shipping Russian oil: Tanker shipping, insurance and ship sales serving Russian oil and LNG exports: CREA, KSE Institute, S&P Global, Windward, press reports. The map's panel lists every one, with its documents.
The Cook Islands is a territory of New Zealand. We did not check whether the sanctions of New Zealand on Russia extend to it. Russia's list of “unfriendly” states does not name the Cook Islands itself; it names New Zealand.
Toward Russia
7 sources in all; the map's panel lists every one, with its documents. Open in the map · How this is measured
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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/country/cook-islands/