War Balance

Türkiye vs India: support for Ukraine and trade with Russia since 2022

Türkiye: Toward Russia by 3.1% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 0.18% to 5.2% toward Russia; very likely · 96%). India: Toward Russia by 2.2% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 1.0% to 3.2% toward Russia; very likely · >99%).

Support for Ukraine in euros: Türkiye €0.16bn, India €0.15bn. More in euros: Türkiye; more as a share of GDP: Türkiye.

Türkiye → India →

These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.

Side by side

#CountryNetSupport for UkraineRussia kept from trade, vs no warPaid Russia since 2022
Türkiye−3.1%−€32.7bn · −€382 per personlikely 0.18% to 5.2% toward Russiavery likely · 96%+€0.16bn+0.02% of GDPessentially zero€32.8bn more3.1% of GDP morevery likely · 96%€174bn16.3% of GDP
India−2.2%−€70.6bn · −€49 per personlikely 1.0% to 3.2% toward Russiavery likely · >99%−€0.15bn<0.01% of GDPessentially zero€70.5bn more2.2% of GDP morevery likely · >99%€201bn6.2% of GDP

Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.

What makes up each number

MeasureTürkiyeIndia
Purchases from Ukraine vs no war+€0.16bn+0.01% of GDP−€0.18bn<0.01% of GDP
Government aid to Ukraine+€54m<0.01% of GDP+€3m<0.01% of GDP
Extra sales to Ukraine−€28m<0.01% of GDP–
Share of IMF and World Bank lending to Ukraine+€27m<0.01% of GDP+€39m<0.01% of GDP
Arms Ukraine bought here−€26m<0.01% of GDP–
Other countries' aid to Ukraine spent here−€14m<0.01% of GDP−€4m<0.01% of GDP
Aid spent here on energy, relief and rebuilding−€13m<0.01% of GDP–
Cost of hosting refugees from Ukraine+€6m<0.01% of GDP–
Russia's gain from war-time fuel prices−€20.5bn−1.9% of GDP+€11bn+0.34% of GDP
Russia's gain on fuel and goods it sold−€11.1bn−1.0% of GDP−€82.2bn−2.5% of GDP
Extra price Russia paid because of sanctions−€1bn−0.10% of GDP−€0.34bn−0.01% of GDP
Rosatom projects and Russian state loans+€0.61bn+0.06% of GDP+€0.11bn<0.01% of GDP
Company profits in Russia−€0.30bn−0.03% of GDP−€0.12bn<0.01% of GDP
Russian oil bought via other countries+€0.16bn+0.02% of GDP−€52m<0.01% of GDP
Company taxes paid in Russia−€0.16bn−0.02% of GDP−€0.13bn<0.01% of GDP
Services sold to Russia−€0.14bn−0.01% of GDP−€25m<0.01% of GDP
Shipping and insuring Russian oil−€0.11bn−0.01% of GDP−€53m<0.01% of GDP
Payment agents settling Russia's trade−€92m<0.01% of GDP–
Sellers' gain on sales to Russia−€89m<0.01% of GDP−€41m<0.01% of GDP
Services bought from Russia−€40m<0.01% of GDP−€65m<0.01% of GDP
Profits of Russian-owned companies abroad−€21m<0.01% of GDP–
Weapons bought from Russia+€13m<0.01% of GDP+€0.19bn<0.01% of GDP
Gold and hidden payments to Russia−€5m<0.01% of GDP–
Stakes in Russian oil and gas projects–+€1.2bn+0.04% of GDP

+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia

Year by year

YearCountrySupport for UkraineTrade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−)Net
2022Türkiye+€112m−€15.1bn−€15.0bn
India−€40m−€13.2bn−€13.2bn
2023Türkiye+€29m−€5.2bn−€5.2bn
India−€6m−€15.1bn−€15.1bn
2024Türkiye+€1m−€6.2bn−€6.2bn
India−€10m−€19.5bn−€19.5bn
2025Türkiye+€8m−€4.3bn−€4.3bn
India−€58m−€12.4bn−€12.4bn
2026*Türkiye+€10m−€1.9bn−€1.9bn
India−€32m−€10.3bn−€10.3bn

Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.

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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/compare/turkiye-vs-india/