War Balance

Kazakhstan vs Uzbekistan: support for Ukraine and trade with Russia since 2022

Kazakhstan: Toward Ukraine by 0.02% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely from 2.7% toward Russia to 2.8% toward Ukraine; essentially zero). Uzbekistan: Toward Russia by 4.1% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 1.7% to 6.8% toward Russia; very likely · >99%).

Support for Ukraine in euros: Kazakhstan €20m, Uzbekistan €3m. More in euros: Kazakhstan; more as a share of GDP: Kazakhstan.

Kazakhstan → Uzbekistan →

These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.

Side by side

#CountryNetSupport for UkraineRussia kept from trade, vs no warPaid Russia since 2022
Kazakhstan+0.02%+€55m · +€3 per personlikely from 2.7% toward Russia to 2.8% toward Ukraineessentially zero+€20m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero€35m less0.01% of GDP lessessentially zero€78.7bn32.5% of GDP
Uzbekistan−4.1%−€4.1bn · −€113 per personlikely 1.7% to 6.8% toward Russiavery likely · >99%−€3m<0.01% of GDPessentially zero€4.1bn more4.1% of GDP morevery likely · >99%€31.2bn31.1% of GDP

Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.

What makes up each number

MeasureKazakhstanUzbekistan
Purchases from Ukraine vs no war+€14m<0.01% of GDP−€4m<0.01% of GDP
Share of IMF and World Bank lending to Ukraine+€4m<0.01% of GDP–
Extra services sold to Ukraine−€2m<0.01% of GDP–
Government aid to Ukraine+€2m<0.01% of GDP+€1m<0.01% of GDP
Cost of hosting refugees from Ukraine+€2m<0.01% of GDP–
Russia's gain on fuel and goods it sold+€2.6bn+1.1% of GDP−€2.8bn−2.8% of GDP
Russia's gain from war-time fuel prices−€1.2bn−0.50% of GDP−€0.16bn−0.16% of GDP
Profits of Russian-owned companies abroad−€0.69bn−0.28% of GDP−€0.26bn−0.26% of GDP
Extra price Russia paid because of sanctions−€0.64bn−0.26% of GDP−€0.54bn−0.54% of GDP
Payment agents settling Russia's trade−€0.14bn−0.06% of GDP−€40m−0.04% of GDP
Services bought from Russia+€0.12bn+0.05% of GDP+€50m+0.05% of GDP
Company profits in Russia−€38m−0.02% of GDP−€8m<0.01% of GDP
Russian oil bought via other countries−€35m−0.01% of GDP−€20m−0.02% of GDP
Company taxes paid in Russia−€32m−0.01% of GDP−€12m−0.01% of GDP
Sellers' gain on sales to Russia+€19m<0.01% of GDP−€82m−0.08% of GDP
Services sold to Russia+€14m<0.01% of GDP−€6m<0.01% of GDP
Weapons bought from Russia+€13m<0.01% of GDP+€3m<0.01% of GDP
Shipping and insuring Russian oil−€1m<0.01% of GDP–
Rosatom projects and Russian state loans–−€0.21bn−0.21% of GDP

+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia

Year by year

YearCountrySupport for UkraineTrade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−)Net
2022Kazakhstan+€2m−€332m−€330m
Uzbekistan−€1m−€310m−€310m
2023Kazakhstan+€5m+€254m+€258m
Uzbekistan−€2m−€496m−€497m
2024Kazakhstan+€4m−€367m−€363m
Uzbekistan−€3m−€1.5bn−€1.5bn
2025Kazakhstan+€7m+€67m+€74m
Uzbekistan−€1m−€807m−€808m
2026*Kazakhstan+€2m+€413m+€415m
Uzbekistan+€3m−€992m−€990m

Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.

УкраїнськаDeutschFrançaisPolskiNederlandsEspañol

Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/compare/kazakhstan-vs-uzbekistan/