Italy vs Switzerland: support for Ukraine and trade with Russia since 2022
Italy: Toward Ukraine by 1.6% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 0.60% to 2.8% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%). Switzerland: Toward Ukraine by 1.0% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 0.44% to 1.4% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%).
Support for Ukraine in euros: Italy €12.7bn, Switzerland €8.3bn. More in euros: Italy; more as a share of GDP: Switzerland.
These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.
Side by side
| # | Country | Net | Support for Ukraine | Russia kept from trade, vs no war | Russian money frozen (return lost) | Paid Russia since 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | +1.6%+€34.4bn · +€584 per personlikely 0.60% to 2.8% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99% | +€12.7bn+0.60% of GDPvery likely · >99% | €18.8bn less0.89% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 91% | €3bn0.14% of GDP | €39.1bn1.8% of GDP | |
| Switzerland | +1.0%+€8.7bn · +€966 per personlikely 0.44% to 1.4% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99% | +€8.3bn+0.97% of GDPvery likely · >99% | €1.6bn more0.18% of GDP morelikely toward Russia · 86% | €2bn0.23% of GDP | €19.9bn2.3% of GDP |
Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.
What makes up each number
| Measure | Italy | Switzerland |
|---|---|---|
| Share of EU aid to Ukraine | +€7bn+0.33% of GDP | – |
| Government aid to Ukraine | +€3.4bn+0.16% of GDP | +€1.4bn+0.16% of GDP |
| Cost of hosting refugees from Ukraine | +€1.5bn+0.07% of GDP | +€6.5bn+0.76% of GDP |
| Private donations to Ukraine | +€0.45bn+0.02% of GDP | +€0.57bn+0.07% of GDP |
| Undisclosed military aid to Ukraine | +€0.35bn+0.02% of GDP | – |
| Share of IMF and World Bank lending to Ukraine | +€98m<0.01% of GDP | +€29m<0.01% of GDP |
| Refugee spending kept in the host economy | −€40m<0.01% of GDP | −€0.14bn−0.02% of GDP |
| Other countries' aid to Ukraine spent here | −€38m<0.01% of GDP | −€1m<0.01% of GDP |
| Purchases from Ukraine vs no war | +€18m<0.01% of GDP | – |
| Extra services sold to Ukraine | −€11m<0.01% of GDP | −€4m<0.01% of GDP |
| Aid spent here on energy, relief and rebuilding | −€8m<0.01% of GDP | −€5m<0.01% of GDP |
| Russia's gain on fuel and goods it sold | +€28.3bn+1.3% of GDP | −€0.49bn−0.06% of GDP |
| Russia's gain from war-time fuel prices | −€8.2bn−0.39% of GDP | −€1.5bn−0.17% of GDP |
| Company profits in Russia | −€0.69bn−0.03% of GDP | +€0.58bn+0.07% of GDP |
| Russian oil bought via other countries | −€0.60bn−0.03% of GDP | −€0.20bn−0.02% of GDP |
| Company taxes paid in Russia | −€0.29bn−0.01% of GDP | +€0.34bn+0.04% of GDP |
| Sellers' gain on sales to Russia | +€0.11bn<0.01% of GDP | +€50m<0.01% of GDP |
| Services bought from Russia | +€0.10bn<0.01% of GDP | +€0.12bn+0.01% of GDP |
| Services sold to Russia | +€74m<0.01% of GDP | +€0.12bn+0.01% of GDP |
| Shipping and insuring Russian oil | −€31m<0.01% of GDP | −€23m<0.01% of GDP |
| Profits of Russian-owned companies abroad | +€12m<0.01% of GDP | – |
| Gold and hidden payments to Russia | −€11m<0.01% of GDP | −€0.50bn−0.06% of GDP |
| Extra price Russia paid because of sanctions | – | −€100m−0.01% of GDP |
| Frozen Russian central bank reserves | €1.9bn0.09% of GDP | €1.1bn0.13% of GDP |
| Frozen Russian private assets | €1.1bn0.05% of GDP | €0.85bn0.10% of GDP |
+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia
Year by year
| Year | Country | Support for Ukraine | Trade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−) | Russian money frozen | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Italy | +€2.9bn | −€3.9bn | +€216m | −€781m |
| Switzerland | +€1.6bn | −€670m | +€141m | +€1.1bn | |
| 2023 | Italy | +€3.4bn | +€6.9bn | +€958m | +€11.3bn |
| Switzerland | +€1.8bn | −€530m | +€559m | +€1.8bn | |
| 2024 | Italy | +€2.8bn | +€4.6bn | +€834m | +€8.2bn |
| Switzerland | +€1.7bn | −€163m | +€566m | +€2.1bn | |
| 2025 | Italy | +€2.3bn | +€4.4bn | +€627m | +€7.3bn |
| Switzerland | +€1.7bn | −€412m | +€441m | +€1.8bn | |
| 2026* | Italy | +€1.4bn | +€6.7bn | +€374m | +€8.4bn |
| Switzerland | +€1.4bn | +€200m | +€262m | +€1.9bn |
Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.
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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/compare/italy-vs-switzerland/