Finland vs Romania: support for Ukraine and trade with Russia since 2022
Finland: Toward Ukraine by 8.5% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 5.4% to 12.6% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%). Romania: Toward Ukraine by 2.8% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 0.99% to 4.6% toward Ukraine; very likely · 99%).
Support for Ukraine in euros: Finland €5.3bn, Romania €1.8bn. More in euros: Finland; more as a share of GDP: Finland.
These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.
Side by side
| # | Country | Net | Support for Ukraine | Russia kept from trade, vs no war | Russian money frozen (return lost) | Paid Russia since 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | +8.5%+€23.1bn · +€4,108 per personlikely 5.4% to 12.6% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99% | +€5.3bn+1.9% of GDPvery likely · >99% | €17.4bn less6.4% of GDP lessvery likely · >99% | €0.40bn0.15% of GDP | €10.7bn3.9% of GDP | |
| Romania | +2.8%+€8.9bn · +€466 per personlikely 0.99% to 4.6% toward Ukrainevery likely · 99% | +€1.8bn+0.58% of GDPvery likely · >99% | €6.7bn less2.1% of GDP lessvery likely · 96% | €0.35bn0.11% of GDP | €7.1bn2.2% of GDP |
Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.
What makes up each number
| Measure | Finland | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| Government aid to Ukraine | +€2.7bn+1.0% of GDP | +€0.42bn+0.13% of GDP |
| Cost of hosting refugees from Ukraine | +€1.5bn+0.56% of GDP | +€0.42bn+0.13% of GDP |
| Share of EU aid to Ukraine | +€0.95bn+0.35% of GDP | +€0.83bn+0.26% of GDP |
| Private donations to Ukraine | +€77m+0.03% of GDP | +€0.14bn+0.04% of GDP |
| Share of IMF and World Bank lending to Ukraine | +€14m<0.01% of GDP | +€8m<0.01% of GDP |
| Refugee spending kept in the host economy | −€14m<0.01% of GDP | −€10m<0.01% of GDP |
| Aid to Ukraine spent at home | −€9m<0.01% of GDP | – |
| Purchases from Ukraine vs no war | +€6m<0.01% of GDP | +€0.11bn+0.04% of GDP |
| Aid spent here on energy, relief and rebuilding | −€6m<0.01% of GDP | −€3m<0.01% of GDP |
| Extra services sold to Ukraine | −€4m<0.01% of GDP | −€52m−0.02% of GDP |
| Other countries' aid to Ukraine spent here | −€3m<0.01% of GDP | – |
| Extra sales to Ukraine | – | −€35m−0.01% of GDP |
| Arms Ukraine bought here | – | −€9m<0.01% of GDP |
| Russia's gain on fuel and goods it sold | +€15.2bn+5.6% of GDP | +€7.6bn+2.4% of GDP |
| Company profits in Russia | +€1.2bn+0.43% of GDP | – |
| Company taxes paid in Russia | +€0.75bn+0.28% of GDP | – |
| Russia's gain from war-time fuel prices | −€0.45bn−0.16% of GDP | −€0.23bn−0.07% of GDP |
| Russian oil bought via other countries | +€0.39bn+0.14% of GDP | −€0.68bn−0.21% of GDP |
| Sellers' gain on sales to Russia | +€0.14bn+0.05% of GDP | +€42m+0.01% of GDP |
| Profits of Russian-owned companies abroad | +€69m+0.03% of GDP | −€71m−0.02% of GDP |
| Services sold to Russia | +€58m+0.02% of GDP | +€3m<0.01% of GDP |
| Services bought from Russia | +€39m+0.01% of GDP | +€6m<0.01% of GDP |
| Extra price Russia paid because of sanctions | −€15m<0.01% of GDP | – |
| Frozen Russian central bank reserves | €0.26bn0.09% of GDP | €0.22bn0.07% of GDP |
| Frozen Russian private assets | €0.14bn0.05% of GDP | €0.12bn0.04% of GDP |
+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia
Year by year
| Year | Country | Support for Ukraine | Trade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−) | Russian money frozen | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Finland | +€653m | +€2.8bn | +€29m | +€3.5bn |
| Romania | +€408m | +€31m | +€25m | +€464m | |
| 2023 | Finland | +€1.7bn | +€4.6bn | +€127m | +€6.4bn |
| Romania | +€508m | +€1.8bn | +€111m | +€2.5bn | |
| 2024 | Finland | +€1.4bn | +€4.0bn | +€110m | +€5.5bn |
| Romania | +€555m | +€1.9bn | +€96m | +€2.5bn | |
| 2025 | Finland | +€906m | +€3.2bn | +€83m | +€4.2bn |
| Romania | +€193m | +€1.4bn | +€73m | +€1.7bn | |
| 2026* | Finland | +€642m | +€2.8bn | +€50m | +€3.5bn |
| Romania | +€173m | +€1.5bn | +€43m | +€1.8bn |
Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.
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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/compare/finland-vs-romania/