War Balance

Belgium vs Japan: support for Ukraine and trade with Russia since 2022

Belgium: Toward Ukraine by 3.4% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 2.2% to 4.7% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%). Japan: Toward Ukraine by 0.30% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 0.14% to 0.55% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%).

Support for Ukraine in euros: Belgium €5.8bn, Japan €5.3bn. More in euros: Belgium; more as a share of GDP: Belgium.

Belgium → Japan →

These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.

Side by side

#CountryNetSupport for UkraineRussia kept from trade, vs no warRussian money frozen (return lost)Paid Russia since 2022
Belgium+3.4%+€20.3bn · +€1,708 per personlikely 2.2% to 4.7% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€5.8bn+0.97% of GDPvery likely · >99%€3.7bn less0.62% of GDP lesslikely toward Ukraine · 79%€10.8bn1.8% of GDP€24.7bn4.2% of GDP
Japan+0.30%+€12.2bn · +€98 per personlikely 0.14% to 0.55% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99%+€5.3bn+0.13% of GDPvery likely · >99%€6.5bn less0.16% of GDP lessnear zero · 94% toward Ukraine€0.34bn<0.01% of GDP€36.9bn0.91% of GDP

Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.

What makes up each number

MeasureBelgiumJapan
Cost of hosting refugees from Ukraine+€2bn+0.34% of GDP+€34m<0.01% of GDP
Share of EU aid to Ukraine+€2bn+0.33% of GDP–
Government aid to Ukraine+€1.7bn+0.29% of GDP+€4.9bn+0.12% of GDP
Private donations to Ukraine+€0.13bn+0.02% of GDP+€0.35bn<0.01% of GDP
Share of IMF and World Bank lending to Ukraine+€32m<0.01% of GDP+€0.12bn<0.01% of GDP
Refugee spending kept in the host economy−€23m<0.01% of GDP–
Extra services sold to Ukraine−€7m<0.01% of GDP–
Aid to Ukraine spent at home−€5m<0.01% of GDP–
Other countries' aid to Ukraine spent here−€5m<0.01% of GDP−€1m<0.01% of GDP
Purchases from Ukraine vs no war−€4m<0.01% of GDP−€54m<0.01% of GDP
Aid spent here on energy, relief and rebuilding–−€1m<0.01% of GDP
Russia's gain on fuel and goods it sold+€4.7bn+0.80% of GDP+€7.8bn+0.19% of GDP
Russia's gain from war-time fuel prices−€3.1bn−0.52% of GDP−€3.2bn−0.08% of GDP
Russian oil bought via other countries+€1.9bn+0.33% of GDP−€0.21bn<0.01% of GDP
Company profits in Russia+€98m+0.02% of GDP+€1.6bn+0.04% of GDP
Company taxes paid in Russia+€89m+0.01% of GDP+€2.4bn+0.06% of GDP
Extra price Russia paid because of sanctions−€81m−0.01% of GDP–
Shipping and insuring Russian oil−€51m<0.01% of GDP−€0.19bn<0.01% of GDP
Profits of Russian-owned companies abroad+€31m<0.01% of GDP–
Services bought from Russia+€11m<0.01% of GDP+€71m<0.01% of GDP
Services sold to Russia+€7m<0.01% of GDP+€15m<0.01% of GDP
Sellers' gain on sales to Russia+€1m<0.01% of GDP+€13m<0.01% of GDP
Stakes in Russian oil and gas projects–−€1.7bn−0.04% of GDP
Frozen Russian central bank reserves€7.4bn1.2% of GDP€0.32bn<0.01% of GDP
Frozen Russian private assets€3.4bn0.57% of GDP€27m<0.01% of GDP

+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia

Year by year

YearCountrySupport for UkraineTrade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−)Russian money frozenNet
2022Belgium+€901m−€2.0bn+€752m−€384m
Japan+€1.1bn−€479m+€3m+€626m
2023Belgium+€1.3bn+€1.4bn+€3.4bn+€6.1bn
Japan+€2.0bn+€1.8bn+€7m+€3.8bn
2024Belgium+€1.5bn+€1.8bn+€3.0bn+€6.3bn
Japan+€1.3bn+€1.5bn+€35m+€2.9bn
2025Belgium+€1.3bn+€870m+€2.3bn+€4.4bn
Japan+€369m+€2.0bn+€146m+€2.5bn
2026*Belgium+€818m+€1.6bn+€1.4bn+€3.8bn
Japan+€520m+€1.7bn+€153m+€2.4bn

Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. *2026: to August.

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Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/compare/belgium-vs-japan/