# Hungary vs Poland: support for Ukraine and trade with Russia since 2022

Hungary: Toward Russia by 6.0% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 0.72% to 9.8% toward Russia; very likely · 97%). Poland: Toward Ukraine by 5.0% of a year's GDP since 2022 (likely 2.8% to 7.8% toward Ukraine; very likely · >99%).

Support for Ukraine in euros: Hungary €0.68bn, Poland €14.2bn. More in euros: Poland; more as a share of GDP: Poland.

[Hungary →](https://warbalance.org/#HUN) [Poland →](https://warbalance.org/#POL)

These numbers measure money: aid to Ukraine and the change in what Russia keeps from trade, against a world without the war. Weapons count at their money value: aid at market value when delivered, weapons and troops sent to Russia at the seller's gain where Russia paid and in full where it did not. Votes, diplomacy and intent are not in them.

## Side by side

| # | Country | Net | Support for Ukraine | Russia kept from trade, vs no war | Russian money frozen (return lost) | Paid Russia since 2022 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| – | [Hungary](https://warbalance.org/country/hungary/) | −6.0% · −€11.4bn · −€1,192 per personlikely 0.72% to 9.8% toward Russiavery likely · 97% | +€0.68bn · +0.36% of GDPvery likely · >99% | €12.3bn more · 6.4% of GDP morevery likely · 98% | €0.20bn · 0.10% of GDP | €30.6bn · 16.1% of GDP |
| – | [Poland](https://warbalance.org/country/poland/) | +5.0% · +€37.8bn · +€1,034 per personlikely 2.8% to 7.8% toward Ukrainevery likely · >99% | +€14.2bn · +1.9% of GDPvery likely · 98% | €22.8bn less · 3.0% of GDP lessvery likely · >99% | €0.85bn · 0.11% of GDP | €22.5bn · 3.0% of GDP |

Each row: the best estimate, then its range and the chance of its direction, as in the country's panel.

## What makes up each number

| Measure | Hungary | Poland |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Share of EU aid to Ukraine | +€0.36bn · +0.19% of GDP | +€2bn · +0.27% of GDP |
| Cost of hosting refugees from Ukraine | +€0.16bn · +0.09% of GDP | +€10.6bn · +1.4% of GDP |
| Private donations to Ukraine | +€83m · +0.04% of GDP | +€0.41bn · +0.05% of GDP |
| Government aid to Ukraine | +€54m · +0.03% of GDP | +€3bn · +0.39% of GDP |
| Share of IMF and World Bank lending to Ukraine | +€10m · <0.01% of GDP | +€20m · <0.01% of GDP |
| Purchases from Ukraine vs no war | +€6m · <0.01% of GDP | +€0.41bn · +0.05% of GDP |
| Refugee spending kept in the host economy | −€4m · <0.01% of GDP | −€0.91bn · −0.12% of GDP |
| Extra sales to Ukraine | – | −€0.82bn · −0.11% of GDP |
| Extra services sold to Ukraine | – | −€0.44bn · −0.06% of GDP |
| Aid spent here on energy, relief and rebuilding | – | −€68m · <0.01% of GDP |
| Aid to Ukraine spent at home | – | −€23m · <0.01% of GDP |
| Russia's gain from war-time fuel prices | −€9.8bn · −5.1% of GDP | −€1.8bn · −0.23% of GDP |
| Rosatom projects and Russian state loans | −€0.78bn · −0.41% of GDP | – |
| Company profits in Russia | −€0.77bn · −0.41% of GDP | +€84m · +0.01% of GDP |
| Company taxes paid in Russia | −€0.76bn · −0.40% of GDP | +€0.59bn · +0.08% of GDP |
| Russia's gain on fuel and goods it sold | −€0.42bn · −0.22% of GDP | +€22.3bn · +3.0% of GDP |
| Russian oil bought via other countries | +€0.29bn · +0.15% of GDP | +€0.78bn · +0.10% of GDP |
| Extra price Russia paid because of sanctions | −€37m · −0.02% of GDP | −€0.11bn · −0.01% of GDP |
| Services bought from Russia | +€14m · <0.01% of GDP | +€42m · <0.01% of GDP |
| Services sold to Russia | +€7m · <0.01% of GDP | +€68m · <0.01% of GDP |
| Sellers' gain on sales to Russia | – | +€0.84bn · +0.11% of GDP |
| Frozen Russian central bank reserves | €0.13bn · 0.07% of GDP | €0.55bn · 0.07% of GDP |
| Frozen Russian private assets | €70m · 0.04% of GDP | €0.30bn · 0.04% of GDP |

+ toward Ukraine, − toward Russia

## Year by year

| Year | Country | Support for Ukraine | Trade: toward Ukraine (+) / toward Russia (−) | Russian money frozen | Net |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [2022](https://warbalance.org/ukraine-aid-2022/) | Hungary | +€268m | −€8.3bn | +€14m | −€8.0bn |
| – | Poland | +€5.9bn | +€2.4bn | +€62m | +€8.4bn |
| [2023](https://warbalance.org/ukraine-aid-2023/) | Hungary | +€184m | −€1.5bn | +€63m | −€1.3bn |
| – | Poland | +€2.9bn | +€5.6bn | +€271m | +€8.8bn |
| [2024](https://warbalance.org/ukraine-aid-2024/) | Hungary | +€151m | −€761m | +€54m | −€555m |
| – | Poland | +€2.4bn | +€5.9bn | +€235m | +€8.5bn |
| [2025](https://warbalance.org/ukraine-aid-2025/) | Hungary | +€108m | −€1.6bn | +€41m | −€1.5bn |
| – | Poland | +€1.8bn | +€4.3bn | +€177m | +€6.2bn |
| [2026](https://warbalance.org/ukraine-aid-2026/)\* | Hungary | −€36m | −€27m | +€24m | −€38m |
| – | Poland | +€1.3bn | +€4.6bn | +€106m | +€5.9bn |

Each year's amount: + toward Ukraine, − toward Russia. \*2026: to August.

## Related

- [Hungary](https://warbalance.org/country/hungary/)
- [Poland](https://warbalance.org/country/poland/)
- [EU countries](https://warbalance.org/group/eu/)
- [NATO members](https://warbalance.org/group/nato/)
- [Hungary vs Slovakia](https://warbalance.org/compare/hungary-vs-slovakia/)
- [Croatia vs Hungary](https://warbalance.org/compare/croatia-vs-hungary/)
- [Hungary vs Serbia](https://warbalance.org/compare/hungary-vs-serbia/)
- [France vs Hungary](https://warbalance.org/compare/france-vs-hungary/)
- [Poland vs Germany](https://warbalance.org/compare/poland-vs-germany/)
- [United States vs Poland](https://warbalance.org/compare/united-states-vs-poland/)
- [Netherlands vs Poland](https://warbalance.org/compare/netherlands-vs-poland/)
- [United Kingdom vs Poland](https://warbalance.org/compare/united-kingdom-vs-poland/)
- [France vs Poland](https://warbalance.org/compare/france-vs-poland/)
- [Poland vs Norway](https://warbalance.org/compare/poland-vs-norway/)
- [All topics](https://warbalance.org/topics/)

[Українська](https://warbalance.org/uk/compare/hungary-vs-poland/)[Deutsch](https://warbalance.org/de/compare/hungary-vs-poland/)[Français](https://warbalance.org/fr/compare/hungary-vs-poland/)[Polski](https://warbalance.org/pl/compare/hungary-vs-poland/)[Nederlands](https://warbalance.org/nl/compare/hungary-vs-poland/)[Español](https://warbalance.org/es/compare/hungary-vs-poland/)

Cite as: War Balance, figures to August 2026, https://warbalance.org/compare/hungary-vs-poland/
